Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally
Horseshoe Bend Eviction Risk: Lower , Roswell
Tract 13121011440 · Fulton County, GA · pop 2,407 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Here is how census tract 13121011440, in Horseshoe Bend in Roswell eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a $1/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 2,407. That is riskier than roughly 39% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 67% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,706 a month against an average household income of $139,792 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 19% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units886
Renter share19.0%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$139,792
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
8
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Roswell and the region
Centroid at 33.9946, -84.3012 · click any tract to drill in
Why Horseshoe Bend scores 1.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Roswell
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,706 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roswell
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roswell
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roswell
2.0
How Horseshoe Bend compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 276Total filings 2020-21
- 3.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Atlanta, GA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.0%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.8%Food insecurity
- 5.0%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 7.4%No health insurance
- 12.3%Frequent mental distress
- 23.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Horseshoe Bend
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 4.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Roswell eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Fulton County average of 5.7 and below the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 13121011440
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13121011440?
Census tract 13121011440 in the Horseshoe Bend neighborhood scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13121011440?
Median gross rent is $1,706/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13121011440?
7.3% of residents in tract 13121011440 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,407.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13121011440?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 77th, minority 49th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 13121011440 considered part of Horseshoe Bend?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13121011440 fall within Horseshoe Bend (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 13121011440 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 13121011440 compare to Roswell overall?
Tract 13121011440 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Roswell at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roswell eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Roswell
Top eight tracts in Roswell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · GA
13121011430
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · GA
Harlow West
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · GA
Seven Pines
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · GA
13121011437
2.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · GA
North Shore
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · GA
Harlow West
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · GA
North Shore
2.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · GA
Studdiford
2
/ 10 · Low
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