Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Swan Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 13151070117 ·
Henry County, GA · pop 3,855 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 13151070117 sits in the Swan Lake area of Henry County, GA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.1/10. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%Stable renters 6%Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,552
Renter share9.1%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$75,540
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Swan Lake
Moderate
Within county
55th percentile
#27 of 59 tracts In Henry County
Elevated
Within state
54th percentile
#1,273 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
Moderate
National
44th percentile
#47,371 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Henry County and the region
Centroid at 33.5787, -84.1964 · click any tract to drill in
Why Swan Lake scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,800 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
State baseline
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Swan Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
55%Socioeconomic
7%Household composition
61%Racial/ethnic minority
6%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
14.5%Housing insecurity
9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
16.0%Food insecurity
12.3%SNAP enrollment
8.7%Transit barriers
11.5%No health insurance
17.1%Frequent mental distress
29.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Swan Lake
roughly one in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Henry County average of 44.7%. Running cool, state political climate reads 2/10.
Well under the midpoint, local political climate reads 2/10. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.7/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Henry County average of 4.1 closely.
Average gross rent runs $1,800 a month. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $75,540.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 13151070117
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13151070117?
Census tract 13151070117 in the Swan Lake neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13151070117?
Median gross rent is $1,800/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13151070117?
7.8% of residents in tract 13151070117 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,855.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13151070117?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 7th, minority 61th, housing 6th.
Q5
Is tract 13151070117 considered part of Swan Lake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13151070117 fall within Swan Lake (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 13151070117 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.