Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Nob Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Aiea
Tract 15003007808 ·
Honolulu County, HI · pop 3,527 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 15003007808 covers part of the Nob Hill area of Waimalu, HI, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 33% here against 50.9% across Honolulu County.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%Stable renters 37%Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,116
Renter share55.5%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$88,108
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In Nob Hill
Very High
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 4 tracts In Aiea
Very High
Within county
63th percentile
#122 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Elevated
Within state
68th percentile
#142 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Aiea and the region
Centroid at 21.3833, -157.9488 · click any tract to drill in
Why Nob Hill scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aiea
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,566 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aiea
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aiea
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aiea
4.6
How Nob Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.2%Housing insecurity
6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
22.3%Food insecurity
14.9%SNAP enrollment
8.6%Transit barriers
6.1%No health insurance
15.6%Frequent mental distress
30.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Nob Hill
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.9/10. At $1,566 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Waimalu commands. Nationally it ranks #14,906 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 6.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Honolulu County average of 6.0 closely.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $88,108. 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003007808
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003007808?
Census tract 15003007808 in the Nob Hill neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003007808?
Median gross rent is $1,566/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003007808?
10.7% of residents in tract 15003007808 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,527.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003007808?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 36th, minority 96th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 15003007808 considered part of Nob Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003007808 fall within Nob Hill (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15003007808 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15003007808 compare to Aiea overall?
Tract 15003007808 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Aiea at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aiea eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Aiea
Top eight tracts in Aiea ranked by composite eviction-risk score.