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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

City Center Eviction Risk: High , Kalaeloa

Tract 15003008502 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,971 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 15003008502 sits in the City Center area of Kalaeloa, HI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.9/10. It is home to 2,971 residents. It sits 3.9 points above the Honolulu County average of 6.0.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 65% Stable renters 35% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units844
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate18.8%
Median income$81,833

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In City Center
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Kalaeloa
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Kalaeloa and the region

Centroid at 21.3149, -158.0739 · click any tract to drill in

Why City Center scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Kalaeloa
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
18.8% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$3,068 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kalaeloa
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kalaeloa
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kalaeloa
8.1

How City Center compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
City Center risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.9This tracttract 0085029.0Kalaeloaparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within City Center. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in City Center

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.9/10. 100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Set annual rent against average income of $81,833 and the ratio lands at 45%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against Honolulu County at 50.9%, 65% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Food insecurity runs 26.9% against 17.8% nationally. The voucher gap is 14.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Nationally it ranks #1 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003008502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003008502?

Census tract 15003008502 in the City Center neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003008502?

Median gross rent is $3,068/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003008502?

18.8% of residents in tract 15003008502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,971.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003008502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 16th, minority 87th, housing 95th.
Q5

Is tract 15003008502 considered part of City Center?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003008502 fall within City Center (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003008502 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003008502 compare to Kalaeloa overall?

Tract 15003008502 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Kalaeloa at 9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kalaeloa; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Kalaeloa

Top eight tracts in Kalaeloa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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