Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally
Makaha Eviction Risk: High
Tract 15003009803 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 3,162
15003009803 is a census tract in Makaha, HI. It scores 8.3/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 43%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units862
Renter share65.8%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$70,476
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
National
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Makaha and the region
Centroid at 21.4677, -158.2164 · click any tract to drill in
Why Makaha scores 8.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Makaha
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$2,087 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Makaha
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Makaha
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Makaha
9.1
How Makaha compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.7%Housing insecurity
- 15.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 38.6%Food insecurity
- 35.9%SNAP enrollment
- 16.8%Transit barriers
- 10.3%No health insurance
- 22.5%Frequent mental distress
- 43.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Makaha
69% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Honolulu County average of 50.9%. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.5/10.
Food insecurity runs 38.6% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 2.3 points above the Honolulu County average of 6.0.
Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 9.1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $70,476 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Housing insecurity runs 24.7% against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $2,087, 12% above the Makaha average.
That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003009803
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003009803?
Census tract 15003009803 in Makaha scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003009803?
Median gross rent is $2,087/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003009803?
13.4% of residents in tract 15003009803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,162.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003009803?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 70th, minority 91th, housing 92th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 15003009803 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 15003009803 compare to Makaha overall?
Tract 15003009803 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of Makaha at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Makaha eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Makaha
Top eight tracts in Makaha ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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