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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally

Ranch Camp Eviction Risk: Elevated , Waialua

Tract 15003009905 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,947 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 6.9/10, tract 15003009905 in the Ranch Camp area of Waialua, HI reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,947. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 16% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,001
Renter share40.0%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$86,696

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Ranch Camp
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Waialua
Moderate
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#101 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Elevated
Within state
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#118 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Waialua and the region

Centroid at 21.5716, -158.1241 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ranch Camp scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Waialua
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,721 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waialua
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waialua
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waialua
6.9

How Ranch Camp compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ranch Camp risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.9This tracttract 0099056.2Waialuaparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ranch Camp

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.4/10. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Honolulu County average of 50.9%.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.2/10. It sits 0.9 points above the Honolulu County average of 6.0. On the national scale it lands near the 84th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Average gross rent is $1,721, close to the Waialua average.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $86,696. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003009905

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003009905?

Census tract 15003009905 in the Ranch Camp neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003009905?

Median gross rent is $1,721/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003009905?

11.1% of residents in tract 15003009905 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,947.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003009905?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 49th, minority 81th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 15003009905 considered part of Ranch Camp?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003009905 fall within Ranch Camp (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003009905 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003009905 compare to Waialua overall?

Tract 15003009905 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Waialua at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waialua; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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