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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Ahuimanu Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 15003010309 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 3,749 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 15003010309 sits in the Ahuimanu eviction risk area of Heeia eviction risk, HI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.2/10. Population here is 3,749. It sits 2.8 points below the Honolulu County average of 6.0.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 8% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,435
Renter share13.1%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$162,241

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Ahuimanu
Very Low
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Ahuimanu
Very High
Within county
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#324 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Very Low
Within state
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#425 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ahuimanu and the region

Centroid at 21.4213, -157.8311 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ahuimanu scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ahuimanu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,658 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ahuimanu
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ahuimanu
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ahuimanu
3.2

How Ahuimanu compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ahuimanu risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 0103094.6Ahuimanuparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ahuimanu. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ahuimanu

Against Honolulu County at 50.9%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.2/10. Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. Average gross rent is $2,658, 24% below the Heeia average. SNAP participation runs 5.7% against 15.2% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.7/10. Food insecurity runs 9.5% against 17.8% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003010309

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003010309?

Census tract 15003010309 in the Ahuimanu neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003010309?

Median gross rent is $2,658/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003010309?

4.9% of residents in tract 15003010309 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,749.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003010309?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 35th, minority 85th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 15003010309 considered part of Ahuimanu?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003010309 fall within Ahuimanu (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003010309 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003010309 compare to Ahuimanu overall?

Tract 15003010309 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Ahuimanu at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ahuimanu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ahuimanu

Top eight tracts in Ahuimanu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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