Tract 16001010409 Eviction Risk: Moderate

The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Set annual rent against average income of $71,532 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, local political climate reads 1.5/10.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 15.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.5% against 17.8% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.3/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Model confidence here is 65%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.

It tracks the Ada County average of 3.5 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.