Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Bridgewater Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Middleton
Tract 16027021901 · Canyon County, ID · pop 7,531 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 16027021901 covers part of the Bridgewater Creek area of Middleton, ID, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,531. 67% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Canyon County average of 42.6%.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,712
Renter share15.7%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate9.8%
Median income$72,284
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
55
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
43
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middleton and the region
Centroid at 43.7045, -116.6106 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bridgewater Creek scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middleton
3.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Idaho legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.8% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,024 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middleton
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middleton
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middleton
6.1
How Bridgewater Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.7%Food insecurity
- 9.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 10.5%No health insurance
- 17.1%Frequent mental distress
- 36.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bridgewater Creek
37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. Average gross rent is $1,024, 11% below the Middleton average. Nationally it ranks #63,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.3/10.
Against average income of $72,284, annual rent is just 17%. It tracks the Canyon County average of 3.5 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 16027021901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 16027021901?
Census tract 16027021901 in the Bridgewater Creek neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 16027021901?
Median gross rent is $1,024/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 16027021901?
9.8% of residents in tract 16027021901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,531.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 16027021901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 69th, minority 36th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 16027021901 considered part of Bridgewater Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 16027021901 fall within Bridgewater Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 16027021901 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 16027021901 compare to Middleton overall?
Tract 16027021901 scores 3.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Middleton at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middleton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middleton
Top eight tracts in Middleton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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