Jeffery Manor Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

71% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Cook County average of 45.6%. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.1/10. Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income of $30,875, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The poverty rate is 37%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Housing insecurity runs 33.2% against 14.2% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.1/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 24.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $1,082 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Chicago commands.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 445 filings here across 15 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2014 at 6.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.3% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.