Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Niles Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 17031806004 · Cook County, IL · pop 8,661 · 65% of tract blocks fall in Niles
Census tract 17031806004 covers part of Niles, IL, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 8,661 residents. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units3,112
Renter share47.4%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$75,704
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
54
th percentile
Moderate
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Niles and the region
Centroid at 42.0473, -87.8358 · click any tract to drill in
Why Niles scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Niles
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,269 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Niles
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Niles
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Niles
6.0
How Niles compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 286Total filings over 15 yrs
- 1.81%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.4%Peak (2009)
- 13Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 18% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.5%Food insecurity
- 13.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.8%Transit barriers
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 13.7%Frequent mental distress
- 28.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Niles
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 2.2/10. 54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Cook County average of 45.6%. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. Court records carry 286 eviction filings across 15 observed years. It sits 0.9 points below the Cook County average of 6.1.
The worst year on record was 2009, when 3.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031806004
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031806004?
Census tract 17031806004 in Niles scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031806004?
Median gross rent is $1,269/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031806004?
10.9% of residents in tract 17031806004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,661.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031806004?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 69th, minority 66th, housing 88th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031806004?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 286 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031806004 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.81% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 17031806004 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17031806004 compare to Niles overall?
Tract 17031806004 scores 5.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Niles at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Niles; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Niles
Top eight tracts in Niles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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