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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

North Harvey Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17031827200 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,571 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Here is how census tract 17031827200, in the North Harvey neighborhood of Harvey, looks to a landlord: a 6.2/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 3,571. On the national scale it ranks #16,268 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 67% of renter households, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,391 a month while the average household earns $57,311 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 33% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 11% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,326
Renter share32.5%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$57,311

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In North Harvey
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Harvey
Moderate
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#532 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#779 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Harvey and the region

Centroid at 41.6118, -87.6268 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Harvey scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Harvey
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,391 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harvey
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harvey
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harvey
9.0

How North Harvey compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Harvey risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 827200Harvey: 5.35.3Harveyparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 434Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 5.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.1%Peak (2014)
  • 25Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318272002001: 15 filings (2.92/100 renter HHs)2002: 19 filings (3.70/100 renter HHs)2003: 40 filings (7.78/100 renter HHs)2004: 42 filings (8.17/100 renter HHs)2005: 21 filings (3.52/100 renter HHs)2006: 23 filings (3.86/100 renter HHs)2007: 33 filings (5.54/100 renter HHs)2008: 30 filings (5.03/100 renter HHs)2009: 31 filings (5.20/100 renter HHs)2010: 25 filings (4.70/100 renter HHs)2011: 28 filings (4.59/100 renter HHs)2012: 31 filings (5.08/100 renter HHs)2013: 28 filings (4.59/100 renter HHs)2014: 43 filings (7.05/100 renter HHs)2015: 25 filings (4.10/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 67% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Harvey. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Harvey

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Harvey, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 31% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031827200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031827200?

Census tract 17031827200 in the North Harvey neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031827200?

Median gross rent is $1,391/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031827200?

10.1% of residents in tract 17031827200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,571.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031827200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 47th, minority 95th, housing 35th.
Q5

Is tract 17031827200 considered part of North Harvey?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031827200 fall within North Harvey (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031827200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 434 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031827200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.06% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031827200 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031827200 compare to Harvey overall?

Tract 17031827200 scores 5.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Harvey at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harvey; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031827200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 31% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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