Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
North Harvey Eviction Risk: High
Tract 17031827000 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,399 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 8/10, tract 17031827000 in the North Harvey area of Harvey, IL reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,399. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,132
Renter share40.0%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate20.3%
Median income$55,490
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Harvey and the region
Centroid at 41.6263, -87.6451 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Harvey scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Harvey
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
20.3% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,172 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harvey
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harvey
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harvey
8.6
How North Harvey compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 568Total filings over 15 yrs
- 7.13%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.8%Peak (2004)
- 34Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within North Harvey. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 32.4%Housing insecurity
- 21.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 42.0%Food insecurity
- 43.6%SNAP enrollment
- 19.3%Transit barriers
- 15.2%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 38.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Harvey
SNAP participation runs 43.6% against 15.2% nationally. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Cook County average of 45.6%. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10.
On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 21.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $1,172 a month, rents run 22% over what the rest of Harvey commands.
The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Court records carry 568 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Filings peaked in 2004 at 11.8% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 7.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031827000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031827000?
Census tract 17031827000 in the North Harvey neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031827000?
Median gross rent is $1,172/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031827000?
20.3% of residents in tract 17031827000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,399.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031827000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 89th, minority 99th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 17031827000 considered part of North Harvey?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031827000 fall within North Harvey (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031827000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 568 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031827000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.13% of renter households, peaking at 11.8% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031827000 struggle to pay rent?
About 32.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031827000 compare to Harvey overall?
Tract 17031827000 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Harvey at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harvey; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031827000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Harvey
Top eight tracts in Harvey ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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