Within neighborhood
14
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Fifth City Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031836900 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,994 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 17031836900 covers part of the Fifth City area of Chicago, IL, and scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,994. The severe-burden share is 51%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units644
Renter share72.8%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate73.4%
Median income$43,333
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
90
th percentile
Very High
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8819, -87.7061 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fifth City scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
73.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,184 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Fifth City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 48%Grade C
- 52%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 357Total filings over 15 yrs
- 6.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.0%Peak (2004)
- 22Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 19% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fifth City. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 42.8%Housing insecurity
- 35.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 55.2%Food insecurity
- 63.4%SNAP enrollment
- 28.8%Transit barriers
- 16.2%No health insurance
- 23.3%Frequent mental distress
- 40.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fifth City
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 35.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Food insecurity runs 55.2% against 17.8% nationally. Cost burden runs 62% here against 45.6% across Cook County. The poverty rate is 73%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
Set annual rent against average income of $43,333 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.7/10.
Average gross rent is $1,184, 18% below the Chicago average. The filing record is not thin: 357 evictions over 15 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2004 at 10.0% of renter households.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 7.0% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031836900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031836900?
Census tract 17031836900 in the Fifth City neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031836900?
Median gross rent is $1,184/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031836900?
73.4% of residents in tract 17031836900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,994.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031836900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 34th, minority 97th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 17031836900 considered part of Fifth City?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031836900 fall within Fifth City (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031836900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 357 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031836900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.98% of renter households, peaking at 10.0% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031836900 struggle to pay rent?
About 42.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 35.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031836900 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031836900 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031836900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 52% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Cheltenham
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Park Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Placerdale
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Brookdale
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Grand Crossing
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Moreland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Related