Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
West Trail Eviction Risk: Moderate , Grayslake
Tract 17097861404 ·
Lake County, IL · pop 6,224 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 5.5/10, tract 17097861404 in the West Trail area of Round Lake Park, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,224. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%Stable renters 15%Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,833
Renter share26.5%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$73,552
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In West Trail
Very High
Within parent city
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Grayslake
Very Low
Within county
76th percentile
#39 of 159 tracts In Lake County
High
Within state
64th percentile
#1,177 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Grayslake and the region
Centroid at 42.3561, -88.0761 · click any tract to drill in
Why West Trail scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Grayslake
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,262 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Grayslake
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Grayslake
3.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Grayslake
6.2
How West Trail compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
91%Socioeconomic
66%Household composition
81%Racial/ethnic minority
18%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within West Trail. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
22.2%Housing insecurity
12.2%Utility-shutoff threat
27.8%Food insecurity
23.3%SNAP enrollment
12.8%Transit barriers
21.4%No health insurance
18.0%Frequent mental distress
31.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in West Trail
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 2.2/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Lake County average of 4.4.
The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. SNAP participation runs 23.3% against 15.2% nationally.
Housing insecurity runs 22.2% against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,262, 10% below the Round Lake Park average.
On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. 44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $73,552.
27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17097861404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17097861404?
Census tract 17097861404 in the West Trail neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17097861404?
Median gross rent is $1,262/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17097861404?
19.2% of residents in tract 17097861404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,224.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17097861404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 66th, minority 81th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 17097861404 considered part of West Trail?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17097861404 fall within West Trail (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17097861404 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17097861404 compare to Grayslake overall?
Tract 17097861404 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Grayslake at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grayslake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Grayslake
Top eight tracts in Grayslake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.