Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Stonewater Eviction Risk: Lower , McHenry
Tract 17111870501 ·
McHenry County, IL · pop 4,466 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 17111870501 covers part of the Stonewater area of McHenry, IL, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,466 residents. Severe burden reaches 42%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%Stable renters 4%Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,595
Renter share10.5%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$115,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Stonewater
Moderate
Within parent city
0th percentile
#7 of 7 tracts In McHenry
Very Low
Within county
37th percentile
#41 of 64 tracts In McHenry County
Low
Within state
28th percentile
#2,350 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across McHenry and the region
Centroid at 42.3631, -88.3285 · click any tract to drill in
Why Stonewater scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from McHenry
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,021 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from McHenry
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from McHenry
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from McHenry
4.6
How Stonewater compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
30%Socioeconomic
12%Household composition
39%Racial/ethnic minority
7%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.0%Housing insecurity
5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
10.2%Food insecurity
8.8%SNAP enrollment
5.8%Transit barriers
6.2%No health insurance
16.0%Frequent mental distress
26.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Stonewater
Cost burden runs 64% here against 40.1% across McHenry County. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Average gross rent is $2,021, 30% above the McHenry average.
The voucher gap is 14.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Food insecurity runs 10.2% against 17.8% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the McHenry County average of 4.3 closely.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $115,625.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17111870501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17111870501?
Census tract 17111870501 in the Stonewater neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17111870501?
Median gross rent is $2,021/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17111870501?
3.2% of residents in tract 17111870501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,466.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17111870501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 12th, minority 39th, housing 7th.
Q5
Is tract 17111870501 considered part of Stonewater?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17111870501 fall within Stonewater (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17111870501 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17111870501 compare to McHenry overall?
Tract 17111870501 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of McHenry at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from McHenry; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in McHenry
Top eight tracts in McHenry ranked by composite eviction-risk score.