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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Silver Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cary

Tract 17111871304 · McHenry County, IL · pop 3,698 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

17111871304 is a census tract in the Silver Lake area of Cary, IL. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,698. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.1/10.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 6% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,494
Renter share9.8%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate11.6%
Median income$86,458

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Silver Lake
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Cary
Very High
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#13 of 64 tracts In McHenry County
High
Within state
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#1,560 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cary and the region

Centroid at 42.2351, -88.2642 · click any tract to drill in

Why Silver Lake scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cary
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
11.6% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,071 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cary
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cary
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cary
5.8

How Silver Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Silver Lake risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 871304Cary: 4.14.1Caryparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Silver Lake. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Silver Lake

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10. Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

At $1,071 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Cary commands. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.9/10. Against the McHenry County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.

Food insecurity runs 10.6% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.5/10. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $86,458, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

41% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17111871304

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17111871304?

Census tract 17111871304 in the Silver Lake neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17111871304?

Median gross rent is $1,071/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17111871304?

11.6% of residents in tract 17111871304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,698.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17111871304?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 19th, minority 42th, housing 14th.
Q5

Is tract 17111871304 considered part of Silver Lake?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17111871304 fall within Silver Lake (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17111871304 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17111871304 compare to Cary overall?

Tract 17111871304 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Cary at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cary; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cary

Top eight tracts in Cary ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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