Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally
Carbon Cliff Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 17161020200 · Rock Island County, IL · pop 3,697 · 29% of tract blocks fall in Carbon Cliff
Eviction risk in Carbon Cliff centers on tract 17161020200, which scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 3,697 residents. On the national scale it ranks #18,555 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $947 a month while the average household earns $61,722 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,665
Renter share33.7%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate15.3%
Median income$61,722
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
National
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carbon Cliff and the region
Centroid at 41.4985, -90.3877 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carbon Cliff scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carbon Cliff
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
15.3% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$947 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carbon Cliff
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carbon Cliff
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carbon Cliff
7.4
How Carbon Cliff compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.8%Housing insecurity
- 8.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.4%Food insecurity
- 16.8%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 10.3%No health insurance
- 18.3%Frequent mental distress
- 33.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carbon Cliff
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carbon Cliff, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Rock Island County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 17161020200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17161020200?
Census tract 17161020200 in Carbon Cliff scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17161020200?
Median gross rent is $947/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17161020200?
15.3% of residents in tract 17161020200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,697.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17161020200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 87th, minority 44th, housing 54th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 17161020200 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 17161020200 compare to Carbon Cliff overall?
Tract 17161020200 scores 4.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Carbon Cliff at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carbon Cliff; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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