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Census Tract · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Moline Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17161021500 · Rock Island County, IL · pop 4,539

Eviction risk in Moline eviction risk centers on tract 17161021500, which scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 4,539 residents. That is riskier than about 83% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 56% of renter households, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,347 monthly, set against $78,168 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 6% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units2,050
Renter share14.5%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate17.6%
Median income$78,168

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 13 tracts In Moline
Elevated
Within county
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#21 of 43 tracts In Rock Island County
Moderate
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#1,262 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,332 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Moline and the region

Centroid at 41.5009, -90.4895 · click any tract to drill in

Why Moline scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Moline
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
17.6% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,347 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Moline
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Moline
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Moline
6.6

How Moline compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Moline risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 021500Moline: 4.54.5Molineparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Moline

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 8.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Moline eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Rock Island County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 17161021500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17161021500?

Census tract 17161021500 in Moline scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17161021500?

Median gross rent is $1,347/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17161021500?

17.6% of residents in tract 17161021500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,539.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17161021500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 50th, minority 35th, housing 5th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 17161021500 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 17161021500 compare to Moline overall?

Tract 17161021500 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Moline at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Moline eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Moline

Top eight tracts in Moline ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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