Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
Scott AFB Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 17163503800 · St. Clair County, IL · pop 1,097 · 94% of tract blocks fall in Scott AFB
Tract 17163503800 sits in Scott AFB, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.1/10. Cost burden runs 14% here against 44.8% across St. Clair County.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 86%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units390
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$155,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
14
th percentile
Very Low
National
22
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Scott AFB and the region
Centroid at 38.5430, -89.8521 · click any tract to drill in
Why Scott AFB scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Scott AFB
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,870 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scott AFB
3.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scott AFB
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scott AFB
3.3
How Scott AFB compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.9%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.2%Food insecurity
- 7.9%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 5.2%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 18.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Scott AFB
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 53.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.9/10. This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.8/10.
Disability prevalence runs 18.6% against 31.5% nationally. Against the St. Clair County average of 4.5, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points. Average gross rent is $1,870, 16% above the Scott AFB average.
Food insecurity runs 9.2% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.8/10. Against average income of $155,000, annual rent is just 14%.
Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.0 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17163503800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163503800?
Census tract 17163503800 in Scott AFB scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17163503800?
Median gross rent is $1,870/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17163503800?
7.3% of residents in tract 17163503800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,097.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17163503800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 6th, minority 42th, housing 16th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 17163503800 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 17163503800 compare to Scott AFB overall?
Tract 17163503800 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Scott AFB at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scott AFB; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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