Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , O'Fallon
Tract 17163504355 · St. Clair County, IL · pop 5,117 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Eviction risk in the Forest Hills area of O'Fallon centers on tract 17163504355, which scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 5,117 residents. That is riskier than roughly 43% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $937 monthly, set against $141,928 in average yearly household income, roughly 8% of income at the averages. Renters make up 18% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,790
Renter share17.8%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$141,928
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
3
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
7
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across O'Fallon and the region
Centroid at 38.6280, -89.9202 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Hills scores 1.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from O'Fallon
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$937 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from O'Fallon
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from O'Fallon
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from O'Fallon
4.0
How Forest Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.4%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.7%Food insecurity
- 7.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 4.8%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 21.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Hills
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from O'Fallon, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the St. Clair County average of 5.5 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17163504355
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163504355?
Census tract 17163504355 in the Forest Hills neighborhood scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17163504355?
Median gross rent is $937/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17163504355?
2.9% of residents in tract 17163504355 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,117.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17163504355?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 13th, minority 52th, housing 7th.
Q5
Is tract 17163504355 considered part of Forest Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17163504355 fall within Forest Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17163504355 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17163504355 compare to O'Fallon overall?
Tract 17163504355 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of O'Fallon at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from O'Fallon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in O'Fallon
Top eight tracts in O'Fallon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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