Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Hearthstone Eviction Risk: Lower , O'Fallon
Tract 17163504353 · St. Clair County, IL · pop 4,320 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 17163504353 in the Hearthstone area of O'Fallon, IL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,320 residents. Against St. Clair County at 44.8%, 24% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,453
Renter share4.8%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate0.5%
Median income$178,159
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
12
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across O'Fallon and the region
Centroid at 38.6248, -89.8818 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hearthstone scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from O'Fallon
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
0.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,659 rent vs county FMR
8.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from O'Fallon
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from O'Fallon
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from O'Fallon
4.0
How Hearthstone compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 9%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.7%Food insecurity
- 5.4%SNAP enrollment
- 4.3%Transit barriers
- 4.1%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 19.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hearthstone
The voucher gap is 36.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.7/10. Average gross rent is $1,659, 25% above the O'Fallon average.
It sits 1.5 points below the St. Clair County average of 4.5. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Disability prevalence runs 19.1% against 31.5% nationally. SNAP participation runs 5.4% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17163504353
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163504353?
Census tract 17163504353 in the Hearthstone neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17163504353?
Median gross rent is $1,659/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17163504353?
0.5% of residents in tract 17163504353 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,320.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17163504353?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 17th, minority 29th, housing 6th.
Q5
Is tract 17163504353 considered part of Hearthstone?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17163504353 fall within Hearthstone (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17163504353 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17163504353 compare to O'Fallon overall?
Tract 17163504353 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of O'Fallon at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from O'Fallon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in O'Fallon
Top eight tracts in O'Fallon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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