Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
River Ridge Subdevision Eviction Risk: Lower , Cherry Valley
Tract 17201000514 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 3,637 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 17201000514 in the River Ridge Subdevision area of Cherry Valley, IL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,637. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,524
Renter share13.9%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$86,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
12
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cherry Valley and the region
Centroid at 42.2550, -88.9587 · click any tract to drill in
Why River Ridge Subdevision scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cherry Valley
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,013 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cherry Valley
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cherry Valley
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cherry Valley
5.0
How River Ridge Subdevision compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.9%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.7%Food insecurity
- 8.9%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 30.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in River Ridge Subdevision
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. 56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Winnebago County average of 44.4%. Against the Winnebago County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points.
Food insecurity runs 10.7% against 17.8% nationally. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $86,500, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $1,013, close to the Cherry Valley average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17201000514
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201000514?
Census tract 17201000514 in the River Ridge Subdevision neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17201000514?
Median gross rent is $1,013/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17201000514?
3.2% of residents in tract 17201000514 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,637.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17201000514?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 17th, minority 46th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 17201000514 considered part of River Ridge Subdevision?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201000514 fall within River Ridge Subdevision (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17201000514 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17201000514 compare to Cherry Valley overall?
Tract 17201000514 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Cherry Valley at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cherry Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cherry Valley
Top eight tracts in Cherry Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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