Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Wingate Eviction Risk: Lower , Rockton
Tract 17201004004 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 6,030 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 3.8/10, tract 17201004004 in the Wingate area of South Beloit, IL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 28% here against 44.4% across Winnebago County.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,688
Renter share36.3%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$69,883
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
30
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rockton and the region
Centroid at 42.4776, -89.0217 · click any tract to drill in
Why Wingate scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Rockton
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$872 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockton
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockton
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockton
4.1
How Wingate compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Wingate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.1%Food insecurity
- 14.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 30.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Wingate
The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 2.4/10.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.8/10. At $872 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of South Beloit commands. That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $69,883, annual rent is just 15%. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Winnebago County average of 4.3 closely.
36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17201004004
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201004004?
Census tract 17201004004 in the Wingate neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17201004004?
Median gross rent is $872/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17201004004?
11.1% of residents in tract 17201004004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,030.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17201004004?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 63th, minority 26th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 17201004004 considered part of Wingate?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201004004 fall within Wingate (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17201004004 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17201004004 compare to Rockton overall?
Tract 17201004004 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Rockton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Rockton
Top eight tracts in Rockton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related