Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally
Durand Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 17201004100 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 5,139 · 25% of tract blocks fall in Durand
The Moderate-tier score of 4.7/10 for census tract 17201004100 reflects conditions in Durand, Illinois. It lands near the 29th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $892 monthly, set against $94,250 in average yearly household income, roughly 11% of income at the averages. About 17% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,034
Renter share17.3%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$94,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
19
th percentile
Very Low
National
11
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durand and the region
Centroid at 42.4434, -89.2723 · click any tract to drill in
Why Durand scores 1.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durand
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$892 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durand
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durand
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durand
4.2
How Durand compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 4%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.1%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.5%Food insecurity
- 8.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 29.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Durand
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Durand, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Winnebago County average of 5.0 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17201004100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201004100?
Census tract 17201004100 in Durand scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17201004100?
Median gross rent is $892/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17201004100?
2.9% of residents in tract 17201004100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,139.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17201004100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 55th, minority 4th, housing 45th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 17201004100 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 17201004100 compare to Durand overall?
Tract 17201004100 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of Durand at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durand; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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