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Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Avalon Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fort Wayne

Tract 18003003800 · Allen County, IN · pop 3,039 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 18003003800 runs through the Avalon neighborhood of Fort Wayne. With 3,039 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 39% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $785 monthly, set against $42,339 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 59% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 31% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,630
Renter share58.7%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate22.6%
Median income$42,339

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Avalon
Very High
Within parent city
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 79 tracts In Fort Wayne
High
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 96 tracts In Allen County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#286 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Wayne and the region

Centroid at 41.0163, -85.1767 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avalon scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Wayne
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
22.6% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$785 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Wayne
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Wayne
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Wayne
2.0

How Avalon compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Avalon risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 003800Fort Wayne: 2.22.2Fort Wayneparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 126Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 6.28%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.2%Peak (2018)
  • 72Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Avalon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Avalon

What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fort Wayne eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Allen County average of 4.6 and in line with the Indiana statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 18003003800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18003003800?

Census tract 18003003800 in the Avalon neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18003003800?

Median gross rent is $785/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18003003800?

22.6% of residents in tract 18003003800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,039.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18003003800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 47th, minority 57th, housing 30th.
Q5

Is tract 18003003800 considered part of Avalon?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18003003800 fall within Avalon (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 18003003800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 126 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 18003003800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.28% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 18003003800 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 18003003800 compare to Fort Wayne overall?

Tract 18003003800 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Wayne at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Wayne eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 18003003800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Wayne

Top eight tracts in Fort Wayne ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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