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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Morningside Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gary

Tract 18089041500 · Lake County, IN · pop 1,494 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 18089041500 covers the Morningside neighborhood of Gary, home to 1,494 residents. For landlords it grades 6.5/10, an elevated reading. It lands near the 87th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 82% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 45% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $899 a month against an average household income of $30,727 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 10% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units641
Renter share54.8%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate44.3%
Median income$30,727

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Morningside
Very High
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 33 tracts In Gary
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 131 tracts In Lake County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#41 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gary and the region

Centroid at 41.5305, -87.3544 · click any tract to drill in

Why Morningside scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gary
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
44.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$899 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gary
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gary
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gary
8.7

How Morningside compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Morningside risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 041500Gary: 3.13.1Garyparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Morningside. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Morningside

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gary eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lake County average of 5.2 and above the Indiana statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 6% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

In CDC survey modeling, about 32.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 29.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 18089041500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18089041500?

Census tract 18089041500 in the Morningside neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18089041500?

Median gross rent is $899/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 82% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18089041500?

44.3% of residents in tract 18089041500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,494.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18089041500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 82th, minority 84th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 18089041500 considered part of Morningside?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18089041500 fall within Morningside (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 18089041500 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 29.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 18089041500 compare to Gary overall?

Tract 18089041500 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Gary at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gary eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 18089041500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 6% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gary

Top eight tracts in Gary ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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