Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Willow Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Portage
Tract 18127050408 ·
Porter County, IN · pop 3,564 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 4.2/10, tract 18127050408 in the Willow Creek area of Portage, IN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.6/10.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%Stable renters 7%Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,542
Renter share11.0%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$87,661
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Willow Creek
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#5 of 9 tracts In Portage
Moderate
Within county
73th percentile
#12 of 42 tracts In Porter County
Elevated
Within state
66th percentile
#579 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portage and the region
Centroid at 41.5901, -87.1692 · click any tract to drill in
Why Willow Creek scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portage
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,283 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portage
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portage
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portage
6.7
How Willow Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
42%Socioeconomic
27%Household composition
40%Racial/ethnic minority
42%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.1%Housing insecurity
8.6%Utility-shutoff threat
15.3%Food insecurity
8.5%SNAP enrollment
7.7%Transit barriers
9.9%No health insurance
17.4%Frequent mental distress
31.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Willow Creek
The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2/10.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.7/10. On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $87,661, an unusually wide affordability cushion. 35% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Porter County average of 3.8 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,283, close to the Portage average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 18127050408
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18127050408?
Census tract 18127050408 in the Willow Creek neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 18127050408?
Median gross rent is $1,283/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 18127050408?
13.2% of residents in tract 18127050408 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,564.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 18127050408?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 27th, minority 40th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 18127050408 considered part of Willow Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18127050408 fall within Willow Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 18127050408 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 18127050408 compare to Portage overall?
Tract 18127050408 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Portage at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portage eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portage
Top eight tracts in Portage ranked by composite eviction-risk score.