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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Harters Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Roseland

Tract 18141011203 · St. Joseph County, IN · pop 8,925 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

For landlords sizing up Harters Heights in Roseland, census tract 18141011203 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 7.1/10. That is riskier than about 96% of US census tracts.

64% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,251 monthly, set against $40,284 in average yearly household income, roughly 37% of income at the averages. About 68% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 24% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units901
Renter share68.4%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate31.8%
Median income$40,284

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Harters Heights
Very High
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Roseland
Moderate
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 82 tracts In St. Joseph County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Roseland and the region

Centroid at 41.7072, -86.2468 · click any tract to drill in

Why Harters Heights scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Roseland
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
31.8% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$1,251 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roseland
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roseland
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roseland
8.9

How Harters Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Harters Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 011203Roseland: 2.72.7Roselandparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 185Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 3.74×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 5 filings (20.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 6 filings (24.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 7 filings (9.33× baseline)2022-01-01: 8 filings (80.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 8 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 8 filings (4.57× baseline)2022-06-01: 10 filings (13.33× baseline)2022-07-01: 5 filings (3.33× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 5 filings (20.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 6 filings (6.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 5 filings (2.86× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 5 filings (20.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-01-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-06-01: 5 filings (6.67× baseline)2025-07-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 7 filings (28.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 5 filings (20.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Richmond, VA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Harters Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Harters Heights

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Roseland, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the St. Joseph County average of 5.2 and above the Indiana statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 3.74x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 18141011203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18141011203?

Census tract 18141011203 in the Harters Heights neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18141011203?

Median gross rent is $1,251/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18141011203?

31.8% of residents in tract 18141011203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,925.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18141011203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 1th, minority 41th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 18141011203 considered part of Harters Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18141011203 fall within Harters Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 18141011203 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 3.74× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Richmond eviction risk, VA), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 18141011203 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 18141011203 compare to Roseland overall?

Tract 18141011203 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Roseland at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roseland; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 18141011203 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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