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Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Marshalltown Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 19127950500 · Marshall County, IA · pop 4,141

19127950500 is a census tract in Marshalltown, IA. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 2.2/10.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 25% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,339
Renter share38.0%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate21.5%
Median income$60,426

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Marshalltown
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 11 tracts In Marshall County
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#70 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Very High
National
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#31,049 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Marshalltown and the region

Centroid at 42.0603, -92.8978 · click any tract to drill in

Why Marshalltown scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Marshalltown
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
21.5% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$868 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Marshalltown
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Marshalltown
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Marshalltown
5.0

How Marshalltown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Marshalltown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 950500Marshalltown: 3.73.7Marshalltownparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 321Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 3.72%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.9%Peak (2015)
  • 37Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 191279505002002: 28 filings (4.30/100 renter HHs)2003: 24 filings (3.69/100 renter HHs)2004: 21 filings (3.23/100 renter HHs)2006: 28 filings (3.99/100 renter HHs)2007: 19 filings (2.71/100 renter HHs)2008: 26 filings (3.71/100 renter HHs)2010: 25 filings (3.29/100 renter HHs)2011: 35 filings (4.59/100 renter HHs)2012: 24 filings (3.15/100 renter HHs)2013: 23 filings (3.01/100 renter HHs)2014: 31 filings (4.06/100 renter HHs)2015: 37 filings (4.85/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 32% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Marshalltown

The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Marshall County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10. Food insecurity runs 28.9% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

35% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Marshall County average of 29.1%. The filing record is not thin: 321 evictions over 12 years of observation.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.1/10. SNAP participation runs 23.1% against 15.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2015, when 4.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $60,426, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 19127950500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19127950500?

Census tract 19127950500 in Marshalltown scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19127950500?

Median gross rent is $868/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19127950500?

21.5% of residents in tract 19127950500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,141.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19127950500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 82th, minority 77th, housing 72th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19127950500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 321 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 19127950500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.72% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 19127950500 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 19127950500 compare to Marshalltown overall?

Tract 19127950500 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Marshalltown at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Marshalltown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Marshalltown

Top eight tracts in Marshalltown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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