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Census Tract · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Marshalltown Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 19127951000 · Marshall County, IA · pop 4,202 · 84% of tract blocks fall in Marshalltown

Census tract 19127951000 covers part of Marshalltown, IA, and scores 3.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,202 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.4/10.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 20% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,684
Renter share33.2%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$74,450

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 7 tracts In Marshalltown
Very Low
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 11 tracts In Marshall County
Moderate
Within state
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#557 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Low
National
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#65,414 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Marshalltown and the region

Centroid at 42.0212, -92.8887 · click any tract to drill in

Why Marshalltown scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Marshalltown
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$907 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Marshalltown
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Marshalltown
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Marshalltown
5.0

How Marshalltown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Marshalltown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 951000Marshalltown: 3.73.7Marshalltownparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 165Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 3.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.1%Peak (2015)
  • 31Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 191279510002002: 9 filings (2.02/100 renter HHs)2003: 11 filings (2.47/100 renter HHs)2004: 16 filings (3.59/100 renter HHs)2006: 24 filings (5.93/100 renter HHs)2007: 7 filings (1.73/100 renter HHs)2008: 11 filings (2.72/100 renter HHs)2010: 6 filings (1.18/100 renter HHs)2011: 7 filings (1.61/100 renter HHs)2012: 11 filings (2.53/100 renter HHs)2013: 11 filings (2.53/100 renter HHs)2014: 21 filings (4.83/100 renter HHs)2015: 31 filings (7.13/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 244% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Marshalltown

Cost burden runs 40% here against 29.1% across Marshall County. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.2/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 165 evictions over 12 years of observation. Against the Marshall County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points.

The worst year on record was 2015, when 7.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 22nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $74,450, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $907, close to the Marshalltown average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 19127951000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19127951000?

Census tract 19127951000 in Marshalltown scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19127951000?

Median gross rent is $907/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19127951000?

5.4% of residents in tract 19127951000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,202.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19127951000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 89th, minority 53th, housing 75th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19127951000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 165 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 19127951000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.19% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 19127951000 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 19127951000 compare to Marshalltown overall?

Tract 19127951000 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Marshalltown at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Marshalltown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Marshalltown

Top eight tracts in Marshalltown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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