Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Lytle Park Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport

Tract 21037052100 · Campbell County, KY · pop 3,381 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 21037052100 sits in the Lytle Park Historic District area of Bellevue, KY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. It is home to 3,381 residents. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 24% Owners 56%

Tract context

Occupied units1,665

Renter share43.3%

SVI overall0.25

Poverty rate16.9%

Median income$61,708

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Newport and the region

Centroid at 39.1050, -84.4841 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lytle Park Historic District scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Newport

4.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Kentucky legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

16.9% poverty · this tract

4.2

Supply constraint

$1,050 rent vs county FMR

3.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Newport

6.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Newport

6.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Newport

6.4

How Lytle Park Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

41%Socioeconomic
6%Household composition
17%Racial/ethnic minority
50%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
44%Grade B
7%Grade C
3%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lytle Park Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lytle Park Historic District

Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 2.1/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.2/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.4/10. Average gross rent is $1,050, 17% below the Bellevue average. Against the Campbell County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Covington. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 45% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $61,708.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 21037052100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21037052100?

Census tract 21037052100 in the Lytle Park Historic District neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 21037052100?

Median gross rent is $1,050/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 21037052100?

16.9% of residents in tract 21037052100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,381.

How socially vulnerable is tract 21037052100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 6th, minority 17th, housing 50th.

Is tract 21037052100 considered part of Lytle Park Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21037052100 fall within Lytle Park Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 21037052100 compare to Newport overall?

Tract 21037052100 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Newport at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 21037052100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newport

Top eight tracts in Newport ranked by composite eviction-risk score.