Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
New Castle Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 21103090200 · Henry County, KY · pop 3,541 · 20% of tract blocks fall in New Castle
Tract 21103090200 sits in New Castle, KY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.6/10. It is home to 3,541 residents. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,397
Renter share21.2%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$62,644
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
National
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Castle and the region
Centroid at 38.4604, -85.1551 · click any tract to drill in
Why New Castle scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Castle
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.7
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$921 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Castle
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Castle
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Castle
8.5
How New Castle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 9%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 26Total filings over 5 yrs
- 1.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.8%Peak (2002)
- 4Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in New Castle
What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.7/10.
Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.5/10. At $921 a month, rents run 21% over what the rest of New Castle commands.
Court records carry 26 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Filings peaked in 2002 at 2.8% of renter households.
In a typical year about 1.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #56,048 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $62,644, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 21103090200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21103090200?
Census tract 21103090200 in New Castle scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21103090200?
Median gross rent is $921/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21103090200?
11.0% of residents in tract 21103090200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,541.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21103090200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 83th, minority 9th, housing 86th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21103090200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 26 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 21103090200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.64% of renter households, peaking at 2.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 21103090200 compare to New Castle overall?
Tract 21103090200 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of New Castle at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Castle; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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