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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Belfair Eviction Risk: Moderate , Baton Rouge

Tract 22033000602 · East Baton Rouge Parish, LA · pop 3,849 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 22033000602 covers part of the Belfair area of Baton Rouge, LA, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,849. The severe-burden share is 42%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 28% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,457
Renter share54.6%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate23.8%
Median income$25,699

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Belfair
Moderate
Within parent city
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#27 of 70 tracts In Baton Rouge
Elevated
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 108 tracts In East Baton Rouge Parish
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#237 of 1,379 tracts In Louisiana
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baton Rouge and the region

Centroid at 30.4718, -91.1481 · click any tract to drill in

Why Belfair scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baton Rouge
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Louisiana legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
23.8% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$841 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baton Rouge
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baton Rouge
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baton Rouge
3.5

How Belfair compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Belfair risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0006024.0Baton Rougeparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Belfair

Housing insecurity runs 33.9% against 14.2% nationally. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $25,699, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 27.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Average gross rent is $841, 21% below the Baton Rouge average. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10.

It sits 1.1 points above the East Baton Rouge Parish average of 4.3. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the LA average is 4.4, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 22033000602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 22033000602?

Census tract 22033000602 in the Belfair neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 22033000602?

Median gross rent is $841/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 22033000602?

23.8% of residents in tract 22033000602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,849.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 22033000602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 77th, minority 100th, housing 57th.
Q5

Is tract 22033000602 considered part of Belfair?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 22033000602 fall within Belfair (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 22033000602 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 22033000602 compare to Baton Rouge overall?

Tract 22033000602 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Baton Rouge at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baton Rouge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baton Rouge

Top eight tracts in Baton Rouge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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