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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Carmen Terrace Eviction Risk: Lower , Baton Rouge

Tract 22033003809 · East Baton Rouge Parish, LA · pop 2,979 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

22033003809 is a census tract in the Carmen Terrace area of Baton Rouge, LA. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,979 residents. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 27% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,558
Renter share48.5%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$81,365

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Carmen Terrace
Moderate
Within parent city
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 70 tracts In Baton Rouge
Very Low
Within county
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#95 of 108 tracts In East Baton Rouge Parish
Very Low
Within state
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#1,090 of 1,379 tracts In Louisiana
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baton Rouge and the region

Centroid at 30.4255, -91.0916 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carmen Terrace scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baton Rouge
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Louisiana legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,206 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baton Rouge
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baton Rouge
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baton Rouge
3.5

How Carmen Terrace compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carmen Terrace risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0038094.0Baton Rougeparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carmen Terrace

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.1/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the East Baton Rouge Parish average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10. 44% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the East Baton Rouge Parish average of 50.3%.

Food insecurity runs 7.9% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 5.5% against 15.2% nationally. At $1,206 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Baton Rouge commands.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $81,365, annual rent is just 18%.

Statewide the LA average is 4.4, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 22033003809

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 22033003809?

Census tract 22033003809 in the Carmen Terrace neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 22033003809?

Median gross rent is $1,206/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 22033003809?

4.5% of residents in tract 22033003809 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,979.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 22033003809?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 12th, minority 43th, housing 36th.
Q5

Is tract 22033003809 considered part of Carmen Terrace?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 22033003809 fall within Carmen Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 22033003809 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 22033003809 compare to Baton Rouge overall?

Tract 22033003809 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Baton Rouge at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baton Rouge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baton Rouge

Top eight tracts in Baton Rouge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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