Within neighborhood
95
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Saint Roch Eviction Risk: Elevated , New Orleans
Tract 22071003308 · Orleans Parish, LA · pop 3,589 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
With a score of 6.7/10, tract 22071003308 in the Saint Roch area of New Orleans, LA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,589 residents. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,628
Renter share54.5%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate31.9%
Median income$28,867
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
81
th percentile
High
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Orleans and the region
Centroid at 29.9990, -90.0639 · click any tract to drill in
Why Saint Roch scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Orleans
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Louisiana legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
31.9% poverty · this tract
8.0
Supply constraint
$995 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Orleans
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Orleans
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Orleans
4.5
How Saint Roch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 20%Grade C
- 13%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 112Total filings over 8 yrs
- 2.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.2%Peak (2006)
- 18Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 45% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 187Total filings 2020-21
- 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.36×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked New Orleans, LA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Saint Roch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.2%Housing insecurity
- 21.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.6%Food insecurity
- 35.0%SNAP enrollment
- 19.5%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 22.2%Frequent mental distress
- 42.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Saint Roch
Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income of $28,867, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Food insecurity runs 37.6% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 35.0% against 15.2% nationally. What pushes it up most is regional political climate at 8.4/10.
The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8/10.
Against the Orleans Parish average of 5.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. At $995 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of New Orleans commands.
The filing record is not thin: 112 evictions over 8 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2006 at 9.2% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for New Orleans. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 22071003308
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 22071003308?
Census tract 22071003308 in the Saint Roch neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 22071003308?
Median gross rent is $995/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 22071003308?
31.9% of residents in tract 22071003308 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,589.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 22071003308?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 49th, minority 88th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 22071003308 considered part of Saint Roch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 22071003308 fall within Saint Roch (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 22071003308?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 112 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 22071003308 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.98% of renter households, peaking at 9.2% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 22071003308 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.36× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (New Orleans eviction risk, LA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 22071003308 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 22071003308 compare to New Orleans overall?
Tract 22071003308 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of New Orleans at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Orleans eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 22071003308 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 13% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Orleans
Top eight tracts in New Orleans ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · LA
Saint Roch
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · LA
Broadmoor
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · LA
22071001746
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · LA
Broadmoor
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · LA
Saint Roch
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · LA
Saint Roch
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · LA
French Quarter
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · LA
Broadmoor
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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