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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Mercy Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Timonium

Tract 24005408502 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 5,556 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 4.5/10, tract 24005408502 in the Mercy Ridge area of Timonium, MD reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,556. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 10/10.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 8% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,031
Renter share21.4%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$146,193

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Mercy Ridge
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Timonium
Moderate
Within county
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#170 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
Low
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#976 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Timonium and the region

Centroid at 39.4567, -76.5938 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mercy Ridge scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Timonium
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,844 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Timonium
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Timonium
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Timonium
5.6

How Mercy Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mercy Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 4085025.9Timoniumparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mercy Ridge

61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Baltimore County average of 46.8%. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.2/10.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10. Against the Baltimore County average of 5.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.

SNAP participation runs 4.3% against 15.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $146,193, annual rent is just 15%.

Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005408502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005408502?

Census tract 24005408502 in the Mercy Ridge neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24005408502?

Median gross rent is $1,844/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005408502?

4.8% of residents in tract 24005408502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,556.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005408502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 63th, minority 24th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 24005408502 considered part of Mercy Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005408502 fall within Mercy Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24005408502 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24005408502 compare to Timonium overall?

Tract 24005408502 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Timonium at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Timonium; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Timonium

Top eight tracts in Timonium ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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