Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Shetland Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Lutherville
Tract 24005408602 ·
Baltimore County, MD · pop 1,980 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 24005408602 covers part of the Shetland Hills area of Lutherville, MD, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. about a quarter of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Baltimore County average of 46.8%.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%Stable renters 2%Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units740
Renter share2.7%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$148,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Shetland Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
0th percentile
#3 of 3 tracts In Lutherville
Very Low
Within county
4th percentile
#210 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
Very Low
Within state
10th percentile
#1,323 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lutherville and the region
Centroid at 39.4273, -76.6106 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shetland Hills scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lutherville
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,583 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lutherville
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lutherville
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lutherville
5.6
How Shetland Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
3%Socioeconomic
12%Household composition
36%Racial/ethnic minority
5%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
5.9%Housing insecurity
3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
6.1%Food insecurity
3.7%SNAP enrollment
3.8%Transit barriers
4.3%No health insurance
12.1%Frequent mental distress
19.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shetland Hills
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10. Average gross rent is $2,583, 82% above the Lutherville average.
Against the Baltimore County average of 5.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.5 points. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. The voucher gap is 31.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.1/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 3% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.2/10. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24005408602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005408602?
Census tract 24005408602 in the Shetland Hills neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24005408602?
Median gross rent is $2,583/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24005408602?
2.2% of residents in tract 24005408602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,980.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24005408602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 12th, minority 36th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 24005408602 considered part of Shetland Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005408602 fall within Shetland Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24005408602 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24005408602 compare to Lutherville overall?
Tract 24005408602 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Lutherville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lutherville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lutherville
Top eight tracts in Lutherville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.