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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

Pennbrook Eviction Risk: Lower , Carney

Tract 24005411404 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 3,482 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

How risky is the Pennbrook area of Carney for landlords? Census tract 24005411404 scores $1/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 95% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 70% of renter households, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,978 a month against an average household income of $115,800 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 9% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 3% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,252
Renter share8.6%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$115,800

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Pennbrook
Moderate
Within parent city
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 8 tracts In Carney
Very Low
Within county
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#125 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
Moderate
Within state
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#758 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Carney and the region

Centroid at 39.4053, -76.5064 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pennbrook scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Carney
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,978 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carney
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carney
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carney
5.8

How Pennbrook compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pennbrook risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 411404Carney: 6.16.1Carneyparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pennbrook

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carney eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Baltimore County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005411404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005411404?

Census tract 24005411404 in the Pennbrook neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24005411404?

Median gross rent is $1,978/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005411404?

9.4% of residents in tract 24005411404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,482.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005411404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 27th, minority 29th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 24005411404 considered part of Pennbrook?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005411404 fall within Pennbrook (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24005411404 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24005411404 compare to Carney overall?

Tract 24005411404 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Carney at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carney eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carney

Top eight tracts in Carney ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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