Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Pennbrook Eviction Risk: Moderate , Carney

Tract 24005411404 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 3,482 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 5.6/10, tract 24005411404 in the Pennbrook area of Carney, MD reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 70% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Baltimore County average of 46.8%.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 3% Owners 91%

Tract context

Occupied units1,252

Renter share8.6%

SVI overall0.08

Poverty rate9.4%

Median income$115,800

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carney and the region

Centroid at 39.4053, -76.5064 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pennbrook scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Carney

6.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.4

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

9.4% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$1,978 rent vs county FMR

5.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Carney

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Carney

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Carney

5.8

How Pennbrook compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

16%Socioeconomic
27%Household composition
29%Racial/ethnic minority
6%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.4%Housing insecurity
6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
11.8%Food insecurity
8.5%SNAP enrollment
6.3%Transit barriers
6.9%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
24.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pennbrook

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 10/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.4/10. Average gross rent is $1,978, 10% above the Carney average. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Baltimore County average of 5.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $115,800.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005411404

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005411404?

Census tract 24005411404 in the Pennbrook neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24005411404?

Median gross rent is $1,978/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005411404?

9.4% of residents in tract 24005411404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,482.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005411404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 27th, minority 29th, housing 6th.

Is tract 24005411404 considered part of Pennbrook?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005411404 fall within Pennbrook (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24005411404 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24005411404 compare to Carney overall?

Tract 24005411404 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Carney at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carney eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carney

Top eight tracts in Carney ranked by composite eviction-risk score.