Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Seneca Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bowleys Quarters
Tract 24005451803 ·
Baltimore County, MD · pop 4,710 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 4.4/10, tract 24005451803 in the Seneca Park area of Bowleys Quarters, MD reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,710 residents. Against Baltimore County at 46.8%, roughly three in four of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%Stable renters 6%Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,765
Renter share24.6%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate10.4%
Median income$103,496
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Seneca Park
Moderate
Within parent city
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Bowleys Quarters
Very Low
Within county
20th percentile
#176 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
Very Low
Within state
32th percentile
#997 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bowleys Quarters and the region
Centroid at 39.3252, -76.3727 · click any tract to drill in
Why Seneca Park scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bowleys Quarters
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
10.4% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,452 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bowleys Quarters
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bowleys Quarters
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bowleys Quarters
6.3
How Seneca Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
22%Socioeconomic
49%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
21%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
14.8%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
15.9%Food insecurity
12.5%SNAP enrollment
8.5%Transit barriers
7.7%No health insurance
18.7%Frequent mental distress
25.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Seneca Park
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.9/10. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10. It sits 1.3 points below the Baltimore County average of 5.7.
At $1,452 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Bowleys Quarters commands. Nationally it ranks #42,813 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Against average income of $103,496, annual rent is just 17%. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24005451803
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005451803?
Census tract 24005451803 in the Seneca Park neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24005451803?
Median gross rent is $1,452/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24005451803?
10.4% of residents in tract 24005451803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,710.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24005451803?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 49th, minority 54th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 24005451803 considered part of Seneca Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005451803 fall within Seneca Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24005451803 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24005451803 compare to Bowleys Quarters overall?
Tract 24005451803 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Bowleys Quarters at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bowleys Quarters; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bowleys Quarters
Top eight tracts in Bowleys Quarters ranked by composite eviction-risk score.