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Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Marydel Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 24011955000 · Caroline County, MD · pop 3,338 · 7% of tract blocks fall in Marydel

Census tract 24011955000 covers part of Marydel, MD, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,338 residents. Severe burden reaches 41%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 7% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units964
Renter share12.4%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate15.3%
Median income$59,342

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Marydel
Moderate
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 9 tracts In Caroline County
Moderate
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#958 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Low
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Marydel and the region

Centroid at 39.0870, -75.8066 · click any tract to drill in

Why Marydel scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Marydel
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
15.3% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,538 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Marydel
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Marydel
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Marydel
4.0

How Marydel compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Marydel risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 9550004.1Marydelparent city5.1Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Marydel

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.7/10. Food insecurity runs 30.4% against 17.8% nationally.

The voucher gap is 18.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 6.9/10.

Housing insecurity runs 22.6% against 14.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters.

It tracks the Caroline County average of 5.1 closely. Average gross rent is $1,538, close to the Marydel average. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $59,342.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 24011955000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24011955000?

Census tract 24011955000 in Marydel scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24011955000?

Median gross rent is $1,538/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24011955000?

15.3% of residents in tract 24011955000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,338.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24011955000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 92th, minority 60th, housing 50th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 24011955000 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 24011955000 compare to Marydel overall?

Tract 24011955000 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Marydel at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Marydel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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