Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Manchester Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 24013506101 · Carroll County, MD · pop 5,411 · 32% of tract blocks fall in Manchester
With a score of 3.4/10, tract 24013506101 in Manchester, MD reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,411 residents. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,761
Renter share7.1%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$139,018
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
13
th percentile
Very Low
National
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Manchester and the region
Centroid at 39.6851, -76.9352 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manchester scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Manchester
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,155 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manchester
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manchester
4.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manchester
6.4
How Manchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 8%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.0%Food insecurity
- 5.9%SNAP enrollment
- 4.8%Transit barriers
- 5.7%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 24.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manchester
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.4/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. It sits 1.2 points below the Carroll County average of 4.6. Against Carroll County at 40.1%, 46% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Food insecurity runs 8.0% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 5.9% against 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,155, 15% below the Manchester average.
That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.2/10. Rent consumes only 10% of average household income of $139,018, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24013506101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24013506101?
Census tract 24013506101 in Manchester scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24013506101?
Median gross rent is $1,155/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24013506101?
2.4% of residents in tract 24013506101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,411.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24013506101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 7th, minority 8th, housing 6th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 24013506101 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 24013506101 compare to Manchester overall?
Tract 24013506101 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Manchester at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Manchester
Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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