Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Manchester Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 24013506200 · Carroll County, MD · pop 5,718 · 15% of tract blocks fall in Manchester
Census tract 24013506200 covers part of Manchester, MD, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,718. 63% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units2,133
Renter share15.2%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$95,417
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Manchester and the region
Centroid at 39.6922, -76.8476 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manchester scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Manchester
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,695 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manchester
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manchester
4.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manchester
6.4
How Manchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 9%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.7%Food insecurity
- 6.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 5.9%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 25.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manchester
Against Carroll County at 40.1%, 89% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.4/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.2/10. At $1,695 a month, rents run 25% over what the rest of Manchester commands. Food insecurity runs 8.7% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 6.8% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2/10. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24013506200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24013506200?
Census tract 24013506200 in Manchester scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24013506200?
Median gross rent is $1,695/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 89% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24013506200?
4.8% of residents in tract 24013506200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,718.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24013506200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 32th, minority 15th, housing 20th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 24013506200 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 24013506200 compare to Manchester overall?
Tract 24013506200 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Manchester at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Manchester
Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related