Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Catoctin Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Myersville
Tract 24021770700 ·
Frederick County, MD · pop 3,846 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 24021770700 in the Catoctin Hills area of Myersville, MD reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,846. Against Frederick County at 39.1%, 5% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%Stable renters 10%Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,374
Renter share10.6%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$152,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Catoctin Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Myersville
Very High
Within county
13th percentile
#57 of 65 tracts In Frederick County
Very Low
Within state
6th percentile
#1,378 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Myersville and the region
Centroid at 39.4754, -77.5482 · click any tract to drill in
Why Catoctin Hills scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Myersville
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,257 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Myersville
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Myersville
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Myersville
2.0
How Catoctin Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
7%Socioeconomic
15%Household composition
18%Racial/ethnic minority
11%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.0%Housing insecurity
4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
7.2%Food insecurity
5.1%SNAP enrollment
4.5%Transit barriers
5.6%No health insurance
14.4%Frequent mental distress
23.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Catoctin Hills
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Average gross rent is $1,257, 29% below the Myersville average. Against the Frederick County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points.
Food insecurity runs 7.2% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 7.0% against 14.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $152,500, annual rent is just 10%. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.5 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24021770700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24021770700?
Census tract 24021770700 in the Catoctin Hills neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24021770700?
Median gross rent is $1,257/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 5% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24021770700?
2.2% of residents in tract 24021770700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,846.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24021770700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 15th, minority 18th, housing 11th.
Q5
Is tract 24021770700 considered part of Catoctin Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24021770700 fall within Catoctin Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24021770700 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24021770700 compare to Myersville overall?
Tract 24021770700 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Myersville at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Myersville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Myersville
Top eight tracts in Myersville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.