Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Foster Branch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Joppatowne
Tract 24025301402 · Harford County, MD · pop 2,533 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 24025301402 sits in the Foster Branch area of Joppatowne, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. It is home to 2,533 residents. 17% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Harford County average of 41.1%.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,024
Renter share12.3%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$114,531
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Joppatowne and the region
Centroid at 39.4068, -76.3320 · click any tract to drill in
Why Foster Branch scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Joppatowne
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,228 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Joppatowne
2.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Joppatowne
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Joppatowne
3.4
How Foster Branch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Foster Branch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.5%Food insecurity
- 10.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 24.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Foster Branch
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.9/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. Average gross rent is $1,228, 29% below the Joppatowne average.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 3.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $114,531, annual rent is just 13%. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Harford County average of 4.4 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24025301402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24025301402?
Census tract 24025301402 in the Foster Branch neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24025301402?
Median gross rent is $1,228/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24025301402?
11.8% of residents in tract 24025301402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,533.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24025301402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 70th, minority 49th, housing 14th.
Q5
Is tract 24025301402 considered part of Foster Branch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24025301402 fall within Foster Branch (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24025301402 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24025301402 compare to Joppatowne overall?
Tract 24025301402 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Joppatowne at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Joppatowne; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Joppatowne
Top eight tracts in Joppatowne ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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