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Neighborhood · Ranked #83,884 of 84,120 nationally

Pine Valley Eviction Risk: Lower , Scaggsville

Tract 24027606805 · Howard County, MD · pop 5,036 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 24027606805 (the Pine Valley area of Scaggsville, Maryland) comes in at 5.3/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 50% of US census tracts.

About 13% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,501 monthly, set against $203,625 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 10% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,756
Renter share11.6%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate1.0%
Median income$203,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Pine Valley
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Scaggsville
Very Low
Within county
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#59 of 59 tracts In Howard County
Very Low
Within state
1 th percentile
Rank, 1st percentileLowHigh
#1,448 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scaggsville and the region

Centroid at 39.1384, -76.8876 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pine Valley scores 1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scaggsville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
1.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scaggsville
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scaggsville
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scaggsville
2.2

How Pine Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pine Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.01.0This tracttract 606805Scaggsville: 5.95.9Scaggsvilleparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pine Valley

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Scaggsville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Howard County average of 6.5 and below the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 24027606805

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24027606805?

Census tract 24027606805 in the Pine Valley neighborhood scores 1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24027606805?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 13% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24027606805?

1.0% of residents in tract 24027606805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,036.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24027606805?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 60th, minority 62th, housing 36th.
Q5

Is tract 24027606805 considered part of Pine Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24027606805 fall within Pine Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24027606805 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24027606805 compare to Scaggsville overall?

Tract 24027606805 scores 1/10, lower than the parent city of Scaggsville at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scaggsville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scaggsville

Top eight tracts in Scaggsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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