Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Chesney Eviction Risk: Lower , Damascus
Tract 24031700207 ·
Montgomery County, MD · pop 5,302 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 3.9/10, tract 24031700207 in the Chesney area of Damascus, MD reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,302 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%Stable renters 8%Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,850
Renter share15.2%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$130,044
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Chesney
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 4 tracts In Damascus
Very High
Within county
6th percentile
#218 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Very Low
Within state
22th percentile
#1,145 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Damascus and the region
Centroid at 39.2710, -77.2179 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chesney scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Damascus
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,654 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Damascus
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Damascus
2.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Damascus
4.3
How Chesney compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
38%Socioeconomic
26%Household composition
68%Racial/ethnic minority
30%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.1%Housing insecurity
7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
14.8%Food insecurity
10.2%SNAP enrollment
7.4%Transit barriers
10.5%No health insurance
14.6%Frequent mental distress
23.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chesney
Against the Montgomery County average of 6.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.1 points. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.2/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.2/10.
Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Against average income of $130,044, annual rent is just 15%. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 45% of renters. Average gross rent is $1,654, close to the Damascus average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031700207
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700207?
Census tract 24031700207 in the Chesney neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031700207?
Median gross rent is $1,654/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700207?
4.9% of residents in tract 24031700207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,302.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700207?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 26th, minority 68th, housing 30th.
Q5
Is tract 24031700207 considered part of Chesney?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700207 fall within Chesney (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031700207 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031700207 compare to Damascus overall?
Tract 24031700207 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Damascus at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Damascus; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Damascus
Top eight tracts in Damascus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.