Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally
Chesney Eviction Risk: Lower , Damascus
Tract 24031700207 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 5,302 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 24031700207, home to 5,302 residents in Chesney in Damascus, scores 6.4/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 85% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 1% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,654 monthly, set against $130,044 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,850
Renter share15.2%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$130,044
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
14
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Damascus and the region
Centroid at 39.2710, -77.2179 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chesney scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Damascus
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,654 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Damascus
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Damascus
2.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Damascus
4.3
How Chesney compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.8%Food insecurity
- 10.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.4%Transit barriers
- 10.5%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 23.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chesney
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Damascus, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031700207
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700207?
Census tract 24031700207 in the Chesney neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031700207?
Median gross rent is $1,654/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700207?
4.9% of residents in tract 24031700207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,302.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700207?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 26th, minority 68th, housing 30th.
Q5
Is tract 24031700207 considered part of Chesney?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700207 fall within Chesney (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031700207 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031700207 compare to Damascus overall?
Tract 24031700207 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Damascus at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Damascus; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Damascus
Top eight tracts in Damascus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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