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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Potomac Eviction Risk: Moderate , Travilah

Tract 24031700608 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 5,422 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 24031700608 sits in the Lake Potomac eviction risk area of Travilah, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5/10. Population here is 5,422. Severe burden reaches 61%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 1% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,799
Renter share3.4%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lake Potomac
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Travilah
Very Low
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#181 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#873 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Travilah and the region

Centroid at 39.0581, -77.2583 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Potomac scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Travilah
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Travilah
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Travilah
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Travilah
5.1

How Lake Potomac compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Potomac risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 7006085.9Travilahparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Potomac

Cost burden runs 79% here against 46.7% across Montgomery County. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.8/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 17.9% against 31.5% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 6.5% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 1.0 points below the Montgomery County average of 6.0. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 3% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $250,001, annual rent is just 17%.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031700608

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700608?

Census tract 24031700608 in the Lake Potomac neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24031700608?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700608?

2.0% of residents in tract 24031700608 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,422.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700608?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 33th, minority 61th, housing 1th.
Q5

Is tract 24031700608 considered part of Lake Potomac?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700608 fall within Lake Potomac (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24031700608 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24031700608 compare to Travilah overall?

Tract 24031700608 scores 5/10, lower than the parent city of Travilah at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Travilah; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Travilah

Top eight tracts in Travilah ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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