Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Bowie Mill Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Redland
Tract 24031701212 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 2,692 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
24031701212 is a census tract in the Bowie Mill Park area of Redland, MD. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,692 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units895
Renter share12.0%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$196,607
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Redland and the region
Centroid at 39.1206, -77.1290 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bowie Mill Park scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Redland
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,199 rent vs county FMR
8.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Redland
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Redland
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Redland
4.9
How Bowie Mill Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.0%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.7%Food insecurity
- 4.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.2%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 11.2%Frequent mental distress
- 20.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bowie Mill Park
Average gross rent is $3,199, 44% above the Redland average. The voucher gap is 38.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Montgomery County average of 46.7%. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.8/10.
Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. SNAP participation runs 4.6% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Montgomery County average of 6.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.
Housing insecurity runs 7.0% against 14.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.2/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031701212
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701212?
Census tract 24031701212 in the Bowie Mill Park neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031701212?
Median gross rent is $3,199/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701212?
2.2% of residents in tract 24031701212 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,692.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701212?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 56th, minority 54th, housing 26th.
Q5
Is tract 24031701212 considered part of Bowie Mill Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701212 fall within Bowie Mill Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031701212 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031701212 compare to Redland overall?
Tract 24031701212 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Redland at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Redland; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Redland
Top eight tracts in Redland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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