Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally
Bowie Mill Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Redland
Tract 24031701212 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 2,692 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 7.1/10, tract 24031701212 in the Bowie Mill Park area of Redland ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,692 residents. It lands near the 96th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 62% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $3,199 a month while the average household earns $196,607 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units895
Renter share12.0%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$196,607
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
11
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Redland and the region
Centroid at 39.1206, -77.1290 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bowie Mill Park scores 1.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Redland
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,199 rent vs county FMR
8.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Redland
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Redland
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Redland
4.9
How Bowie Mill Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.0%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.7%Food insecurity
- 4.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.2%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 11.2%Frequent mental distress
- 20.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bowie Mill Park
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 8.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Redland, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031701212
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701212?
Census tract 24031701212 in the Bowie Mill Park neighborhood scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031701212?
Median gross rent is $3,199/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701212?
2.2% of residents in tract 24031701212 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,692.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701212?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 56th, minority 54th, housing 26th.
Q5
Is tract 24031701212 considered part of Bowie Mill Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701212 fall within Bowie Mill Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031701212 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031701212 compare to Redland overall?
Tract 24031701212 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Redland at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Redland; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Redland
Top eight tracts in Redland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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