Spring Lake Park Eviction Risk: High , North Bethesda
Tract 24031701219 ·
Montgomery County, MD · pop 4,404 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 24031701219 sits in the Spring Lake Park area of North Bethesda eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. It is home to 4,404 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53%Stable renters 46%Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units1,902
Renter share99.7%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$74,559
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Spring Lake Park
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 12 tracts In North Bethesda
Very High
Within county
91th percentile
#23 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Very High
Within state
98th percentile
#32 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across North Bethesda and the region
Centroid at 39.0594, -77.1096 · click any tract to drill in
Why Spring Lake Park scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from North Bethesda
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,894 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from North Bethesda
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from North Bethesda
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from North Bethesda
4.1
How Spring Lake Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
80%Socioeconomic
56%Household composition
85%Racial/ethnic minority
91%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
17.4%Housing insecurity
9.8%Utility-shutoff threat
20.8%Food insecurity
14.8%SNAP enrollment
10.0%Transit barriers
13.6%No health insurance
15.8%Frequent mental distress
23.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Spring Lake Park
100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.2/10.
Against the Montgomery County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.2/10.
The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against Montgomery County at 46.7%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $1,894 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of North Bethesda commands.
That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.5 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $74,559.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031701219
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701219?
Census tract 24031701219 in the Spring Lake Park neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031701219?
Median gross rent is $1,894/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701219?
12.4% of residents in tract 24031701219 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,404.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701219?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 56th, minority 85th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 24031701219 considered part of Spring Lake Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701219 fall within Spring Lake Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031701219 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031701219 compare to North Bethesda overall?
Tract 24031701219 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of North Bethesda at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from North Bethesda eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in North Bethesda
Top eight tracts in North Bethesda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.